A practical watchlist of sentiment, breadth, valuation, liquidity, metals,
crypto, and risk indicators. No single tool should drive a decision by itself;
the goal is to watch clusters of evidence that point toward risk, opportunity,
or patience.
Highest Importance
Core Sentiment And Risk Gauges
These gauges help frame whether the market is behaving with panic, discipline,
complacency, or greed. They are most useful when confirmed by breadth and trend.
Core Gauge
CNN Fear & Greed Indicator
Tracks multiple market inputs to summarize whether investors are fearful or greedy.
Why it matters: Extreme fear can mark opportunity; extreme greed can warn against chasing.
Valuation is a poor short-term timing tool, but it is valuable for understanding
long-term risk, expected returns, and how much optimism is already priced in.
Valuation
MacroMicro / Multpl: Shiller PE Ratio
Tracks cyclically adjusted valuation for the U.S. stock market.
Why it matters: High CAPE suggests future returns may be lower and drawdown risk may be higher.
Action zones: Below 20 is historically more attractive; 30+ is expensive; 35+ demands extra discipline.
Tracks crypto market sentiment on a spectrum from extreme fear to extreme greed.
Why it matters: Extreme fear can reflect panic and washed-out positioning, while extreme greed can warn that speculation is overheating.
Action zones: Use it as a sentiment gauge alongside CoinMarketCap, crypto market-cap trends, and price action. Treat extreme readings as context, not a stand-alone trading signal.
Tracks the relative strength of the U.S. dollar against a weighted basket of major global currencies.
Why it matters: A rising dollar can pressure commodities, foreign earnings, emerging markets, and risk assets. A falling dollar can provide the opposite tailwind.
Action zones: Use DXY as confirmation alongside Treasury yields, credit spreads, and equity trend. Do not treat it as a stand-alone buy or sell signal.
These resources are educational research tools, not personalized financial advice.
Use them together, look for confirmation across categories, and always respect your
own time horizon, risk tolerance, cash needs, and plan.